Pros and Cons of Dollar Cost Averaging
By Patrick on Oct 8, 2008 in Investing
Dollar-cost averaging is a common investment strategy where you invest the same amount of money at set intervals. This takes the guesswork out of market timing and you don’t need to worry about trying to “time the market.”
Because the amount you invest remains constant, you are able to buy more shares when the price is low and fewer shares at a higher price. The goal is to buy more shares at a lower average cost per share over time.
This sounds like a great way to invest, and it can be. But there are times when there are better ways of investing than dollar cost averaging. For example, many experts believe that lump sum investing can result in better returns than investing a little bit over time. The idea behind lump sum investing is that the longer you have your money in the market, the more money you will make. Lump sum investing works best if you have a large amount of money to invest at one time.
Lump sum investing vs. dollar cost averaging. Here is an online tool that calculates actual returns using dollar cost averaging vs. investing in a lump sum. If you play with the tool for a few minutes, you will find examples where lump sum investing wins out, and examples when dollar cost averaging brings better returns.
Even though lump sum investing can result in better returns over the long run, let’s look at an example of dollar cost averaging and why it makes sense to invest that way.
Dollar Cost Averaging Example
Let’s take a look at using dollar cost averaging to max out a Roth IRA. The max you can invest in a Roth IRA in 2008 is $5,000. Many people don’t have $5,000 to put down at once, but they may be able to break it down into monthly payments.
Here is how dollar cost averaging would look if you broke down an IRA investment over 12 months (The numbers represent a fictional fund):
| Investment date | Amount invested | Price per share | # Shares purchased |
| January | $416.66 | $33.21 | 12.55 |
| February | $416.66 | $35.70 | 11.67 |
| March | $416.66 | $34.83 | 11.96 |
| April | $416.66 | $32.10 | 12.98 |
| May | $416.66 | $33.71 | 12.36 |
| June | $416.66 | $35.08 | 11.88 |
| July | $416.66 | $29.04 | 14.35 |
| August | $416.66 | $28.17 | 14.79 |
| September | $416.66 | $27.92 | 14.92 |
| October | $416.66 | $25.83 | 16.13 |
| November | $416.66 | $26.42 | 15.77 |
| December | $416.66 | $28.18 | 14.79 |
| Total | $4999.92 | $30.46 avg. | 164.15 shares owned |
In this example, you can see that as the price per share goes up you can buy fewer shares, and as the price per share goes down you buy more shares. Note that the average share price is $30.46, which is less than the share price during January. In this example, dollar cost averaging comes out ahead of investing in a lump sum, but it could very well come out with the opposite result.
Pros of Dollar Cost Averaging
Affordability. Dollar cost averaging is more affordable and allows people to treat investing like paying a bill. It is difficult for most people to invest a $5,000 lump sum to max out a Roth IRA or Traditional IRA. However, many people may be able to afford a monthly installment of $416.66, which will put them on pace to max out their IRA for the year.
A similar example is investing in a 401(k) plan, which is deducted directly from your paycheck. Even if you could afford to invest the $15,500 limit at the beginning of the year from your cash savings, your paycheck wouldn’t be large enough to cover that. Most people also rely upon their paycheck to pay bills throughout the month. A 401(k) plan forces the participant to use dollar cost averaging.
Convenience. It is easy to set up dollar cost averaging as a monthly payment and incorporate it into your budget.
Cons of Dollar Cost Averaging
Lump sum investing can result in better returns. Lump sum investing can often result in better returns because you have your money in the market longer. This is based on the idea that the longer you have your money in the market, the better your returns are over the long run.
More fees. Dollar cost averaging also means making more transactions, which can result in higher brokerage fees. You won’t pay these fees if you are investing in a 401(k), but you could if you were making monthly purchases of a stock or mutual fund. You can mitigate these fees by investing quarterly or semi-annually.
Conclusion
The point of dollar cost averaging is not to try and time the market - it is to save or invest with amounts of money you can afford. The amount you can invest could be as low as $25 a month or into the thousands. The point is to get into the habit of investing, and dollar cost averaging provides investors with an easy and affordable way to invest money on a regular basis.
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6 Comment(s)
By Eric on Oct 9, 2008 | Reply
I like the example in the intelligent investor where graham talks about lumping a single time investment of 10k into the market in the 1920’s, verse stretching that investment out over time. It really highlights the benefits of dollar cost averaging and how it not only limits you losses when the market takes a hit, but can actually increase your investments value.
By Andy on Oct 9, 2008 | Reply
Good concept but in today’s market where we are seeing huge falls, DCA may not be the best approach. Wait till the bottom (or when things stabalize from the near panic we are in) and then do a lump sum investment. Or even better just stay out of the market for now!
By Patrick on Oct 9, 2008 | Reply
Eric: True, but it can work the opposite way as well. I think for most people it is just the easiest way to incorporate investing into their habits (payroll deductions for a 401(k) are a prime example).
Andy: The problem with that approach is that it relies on timing the market and many people don’t know enough about the market to know when it has bottomed out. DCA allows people without much investing knowledge to put in money when they have it instead of trying to time the market. If you are a serious investor and are well versed in the markets, then lump sum investing is probably a better bet.
By Dividend Growth Investor on Oct 12, 2008 | Reply
I did a study on DCA using historical prices from VFINX ( Vanguard S&P 500 mutual fund) from 1988-2007 and concluded that dollar cost averaging doesn’t work most of the time. It only outperformed a lump sum investment for contributions beginning in 1994, 2001, 2002 and 2008.
Anyways, it’s still being done however, as most people get their retirement contributions every other week or every month from their paychecks..
By Patrick on Oct 12, 2008 | Reply
DGI: I think that is the point - for most people, DCA is the easiest way to invest (especially for 401(k) plans which require payroll deductions). Set it up once and forget about it until it is time to do an annual portfolio rebalance. For those who actively trade and invest (such as yourself), DCA is probably not the way to go. I’m in favor of DCA if it means someone will invest rather than spend the money without thinking about it.
By dan on Nov 21, 2008 | Reply
Its called INVESTING not GAMBLING! We dont ask our broker to put it all on #7 and spin the wheel. I like the idea of DCA! As Andy (above) mentioned “right now was not the time for investing and just to stay out of the markets for now!, I ask when is the bottom?
Yes there are good points and bad, but at the end of the day just think if andy would have bought through a DCA program over the last twelve months he would be much happier and not terrified from times to come as the market comes back over time. Also, some investors dont have a lump of 10K+. its an option as opposed to an obligation!